Phins playoff odds have increased
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mercury22nathan
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Phins playoff odds have increased
because the Phins love to torture their fans, they actually have a higher probability (according to some sites) of making the playoffs after the Buffalo loss than before. i don't think it will happen, but for you gluttons of punishment:
the pre-Buffalo scenario required the Phins winning 3 games and now they need only will 2 (the major reason why the playoff probability went up) and...
http://www.miamiherald.com/sports/spt-columns-blogs/barry-jackson/article190304829.html
the Rams and Jags are hot right now and the Titans lost to a struggling 49ers team. both losses are within the realm of possibility.
while Philly is without Wentz, they're still a good team and the Chargers present problems. 1 or both losses are again not unrealistic.
assuming the Chargers beat the Jets, they can lose to Oakland. and finally...
and this very likely can and will happen.
how much you want to bet that everything the Phins need to happen will happen and then they'll decide to lose to the Bills in that final game just to drive that dagger deeper.
the pre-Buffalo scenario required the Phins winning 3 games and now they need only will 2 (the major reason why the playoff probability went up) and...
http://www.miamiherald.com/sports/spt-columns-blogs/barry-jackson/article190304829.html
The Tennessee Titans must lose at home to the Los Angeles Rams on Sunday and at home to the Jacksonville Jaguars on Dec. 31 to finish 8-8.
the Rams and Jags are hot right now and the Titans lost to a struggling 49ers team. both losses are within the realm of possibility.
The 6-8 Oakland Raiders must lose one game. Oakland plays at Philadelphia in the final Monday Night Football game on Christmas and then finishes the season at the Chargers.
while Philly is without Wentz, they're still a good team and the Chargers present problems. 1 or both losses are again not unrealistic.
The 7-7 Chargers must lose one game. They play Sunday at the Jets before closing with the Raiders.
assuming the Chargers beat the Jets, they can lose to Oakland. and finally...
The New England Patriots must beat visiting Buffalo on Sunday.
and this very likely can and will happen.
how much you want to bet that everything the Phins need to happen will happen and then they'll decide to lose to the Bills in that final game just to drive that dagger deeper.
mercury22nathan- Posts : 2429
Join date : 2015-04-13
Re: Phins playoff odds have increased
I think it's all a moot point, as I fully expect the Chiefs to beat the Dolphins. No need to even think about the p word...ain't happening.
Can you picture all those KC backs and receivers running free against our garbage zone coverage? I sure can. I'll be shocked if Travis Kelce finishes with under 100 yards receiving, and you can all but guarantee that Tyreek Hill will have a 50+ yard TD. This one could get ugly. If the Chiefs take an early lead (and I absolutely think they will) you know Gase will abandon the running game (as he always does), and Cutler will once again shit the bed.
Can you picture all those KC backs and receivers running free against our garbage zone coverage? I sure can. I'll be shocked if Travis Kelce finishes with under 100 yards receiving, and you can all but guarantee that Tyreek Hill will have a 50+ yard TD. This one could get ugly. If the Chiefs take an early lead (and I absolutely think they will) you know Gase will abandon the running game (as he always does), and Cutler will once again shit the bed.
Re: Phins playoff odds have increased
Agreed. Andy will dial up plays to make the Phins LBs look like complete dufuses...again.
And I doubt Miami CAN beat the Bills anyway.
This team is starting to remind me of those Sparano teams; they play hard, they win some games, but they just...never...seem...to be able...to....put it...all together.
I am loathe to say it, but that usually indicates something amiss with the coaching staff.
And I doubt Miami CAN beat the Bills anyway.
This team is starting to remind me of those Sparano teams; they play hard, they win some games, but they just...never...seem...to be able...to....put it...all together.
I am loathe to say it, but that usually indicates something amiss with the coaching staff.
finfanatic- Posts : 2057
Join date : 2015-09-05
Age : 61
Location : LA , no, I mean Lower Alabama
Re: Phins playoff odds have increased
We've already won for the last time this season.
Degarmo- Posts : 2698
Join date : 2015-04-07
Age : 55
Re: Phins playoff odds have increased
finfanatic wrote:
This team is starting to remind me of those Sparano teams; they play hard, they win some games, but they just...never...seem...to be able...to....put it...all together.
Actually, that's a great call.
In Sparano's first year, the Phins went 11-5 and lost in the first round of the playoffs. Year 2 they went 7-9 with a backup QB playing most of the season.
In Gase's first year, the Phins went 10-6 and lost in the first round of the playoffs. Year 2 they are going to be 8-8 or 7-9 with a backup QB playing all season.
The difference? Sparano's teams were +28 and -30 in point differential those seasons. Gase's team was -17 last season and is -90 so far this season. In other words, on teams with arguably less talent, Sparano's teams were actually statistically better than "the offensive genius"'s teams.
Re: Phins playoff odds have increased
and now ESPN is trying to convince us that the Phins have multiple likely ways to make the playoffs...
http://www.espn.com/blog/miami-dolphins/post/_/id/27164/the-five-ways-dolphins-6-8-can-still-make-the-playoffs
problem is, they all start with Miami winning. and the truth is, even at 8-8 the Phins don't deserve to be in the playoffs.
http://www.espn.com/blog/miami-dolphins/post/_/id/27164/the-five-ways-dolphins-6-8-can-still-make-the-playoffs
Here is a breakdown of each playoff scenario for Miami:
Miami wins last two and Buffalo (8-6), Baltimore (8-6) and Tennessee (8-6) all lose out.
Miami wins last two and two of Buffalo/Baltimore/Tennessee lose out, plus Los Angeles Chargers (7-7) win out, plus Kansas City (8-6) loses out.
Miami wins last two and Baltimore and Tennessee lose out, plus Chargers lose one game.
Miami wins last two and Buffalo and Tennessee lose out, plus Oakland (6- and Chargers lose one game.
Miami wins last two and Baltimore and Buffalo lose out, Oakland and Chargers lose one game.
It is surprising the Dolphins still have so many possibilities of making the playoffs.
problem is, they all start with Miami winning. and the truth is, even at 8-8 the Phins don't deserve to be in the playoffs.
mercury22nathan- Posts : 2429
Join date : 2015-04-13
Re: Phins playoff odds have increased
Meh. Feh. Bleh.
DolFan 316- Posts : 8396
Join date : 2015-04-07
Age : 51
Re: Phins playoff odds have increased
Fatal Flaw - "Miami wins last two".
FATALITY
FATALITY
Degarmo- Posts : 2698
Join date : 2015-04-07
Age : 55
Re: Phins playoff odds have increased
Hey for a week we were relevant in December. Not bad if you think about seasons past. We’ve been out of it by Halloween before.
white1- Posts : 3751
Join date : 2015-04-08
Age : 53
Location : Atlanta
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